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Abstract
Food consumption in Asia is projected to increase
significantly toward 2050, with consumption patterns
shifting from traditional diets oriented around starchy
staples to more varied diets with larger quantities of
higher-value and higher-protein foods. Although food
production in Asia is also expected to increase, it will
not be able to meet the growth in Asian consumption of
many food products. In Japan and the Republic of Korea,
growth in food consumption is projected to be limited
through to 2050 because of projected declining populations and modest
future income growth. The most significant rise in food demand is expected
to occur in China toward 2050. The rise in food consumption in China will
be characterised by significantly higher demand by urban consumers for
high-value foods such as dairy products, beef, sheep and goat meat, fruit
and vegetables. For rural consumers in China, growth in consumption of
high-value commodities is also projected, but the increases on average are
expected to be smaller than from urban households. India is one of the
largest consumers and producers of grain in Asia and has a self-sufficiency
policy. By 2050, India is projected to become a significant net importer
of fruit, vegetables and dairy products. For the ASEAN (Association of
SE Asian Nations) member states as a whole, imports of wheat, beef and
dairy products are projected to rise toward 2050. Vegetable and fruit
consumption in the ASEAN region is projected to nearly double by 2050.
Australia needs to remain competitive to meet the opportunities provided
by greater Asian demand for food. Apart from the role governments will
play in reducing market barriers, contributions from the private sector will
also be important. Strong working relationships with supermarkets and
hypermarkets in Asia will facilitate food exports.