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Abstract
Climate change and increasing climate variability threaten the attainment of the Millennium
Development Goals (MDG), and some of the worst effects on human health and agriculture
will be in sub-Saharan Africa, particularly in vulnerable regions. The relationships between
climate change and the vulnerability of resource-poor croppers and livestock keepers and their
resilience to current and future climate variability need to be better understood. This paper
describes the generation of information that combines projected climate change in agricultural
systems with vulnerability data. The results of the analysis, in terms of vulnerable people
particularly at risk for deleterious effects of climate change, are being used for impact
assessment, targeting and priority setting, to help identify locations for specific research and
adaptation activities. Given the heterogeneity in households’ access to resources, poverty
levels and ability to cope, vulnerability assessments need to be done at the sub-national level
to help improve the adaptive capacity and coping strategies of highly vulnerable households.