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Abstract
In this paper we propose a market mechanism for regulated exit of highly emissions
intensive power stations from the electricity grid. The starting point is that there is surplus
capacity in coal fired power generation in Australia. In the absence of a carbon price
signal, black coal generation capacity may leave the market instead of high emitting
brown coal power stations. We lay out options for a mechanism of regulated power
station closure using a market mechanism. Plants bid competitively over the payment
they require for closure, the regulator chooses the most cost effective bid, and payment
for closure is made by the remaining power stations in proportion to their carbon dioxide
emissions. This could overcome adverse incentive effects for plants to stay in operation in
anticipation of payment for closure and solve the political difficulties and problems of
information asymmetry that plague government payments for closure and direct
regulation for exit. We explore the issues theoretically and provide empirical illustrations.
These suggest that closure of a brown coal fired power station in Australia could yield
emissions savings at costs that are lower than the social benefits. The analysis in this
paper is applicable to other countries.