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Abstract
Dynamic game theory is applied to analyze the timber market in northern Iran as a duopsony.
The Nash equilibrium and the dynamic properties of the system based on marginal
adjustments are determined. When timber is sold, the different mills use mixed strategies to
give sealed bids. It is found that the decision probability combination of the different mills
follow a special form of attractor and that centers should be expected to appear in
unconstrained games. Since the probabilities of different strategies are always found in the
interval [0,1], the boundaries of the feasible set are sometimes binding constraints. Then, the
attractor becomes a constrained probability orbit. In the studied game, the probability that the
Nash equilibrium will be reached is almost zero. The dynamic properties of timber prices
derived via the duopsony game model are found also in the real empirical price series from
the north of Iran.