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Abstract
A successful agreement on agriculture is critical for an overall agreement under
the Doha negotiations. But before the final agreement is known, some critical decisions
must be made about issues such as resumption of the negotiations, and the key tradeoffs
to be made following resumption. We consider four of the most controversial areas of the
agricultural negotiations: the relative importance of domestic support, market access and
export subsidies; the sensitive-product exceptions sought for all countries; the additional
special product exceptions sought for developing countries; and the proposed special
safeguard mechanism. We show that the decisions made on reform in these areas will
have a critical influence on whether the negotiations achieve their objectives of
promoting trade reform and reducing poverty. In the end, we are cautiously optimistic
about the potential for the negotiations to deliver a substantial outcome.