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Abstract
In many areas of developing countries, economic and institutional factors often
combine to give farmers incentives to clear forests and repeatedly plant food crops
without sufficiently replenishing the soils. These activities lead to large-scale land
degradation and contribute to global warming through the release of greenhouse gases
into the atmosphere. We investigate whether agroforestry systems might alleviate
these trends when carbon-credit payments are available under the Clean Development
Mechanism of the Kyoto Protocol. A meta-modelling framework is adopted,
comprising an econometric-production model of a smallholding in Sumatra. The
model is used within a dynamic-programming algorithm to determine optimal
combinations of tree/crop area, tree-rotation length, and firewood harvest. Results
show the influence of soil-carbon stocks and discount rates on optimal strategies and
reveal interesting implications for joint management of agriculture and carbon.