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Abstract
The Life Cycle - Permanent Income Hypotheses (LCPIH) suggests that the
timing of an income payment or government transfer should have no effect on the
expenditures of the recipient. In this paper we test the LCPIH against a dynamic model
of household consumption which predicts clustered food expenditure. We use data from
7,013 households in fifty-two urban and peri-urban markets throughout the United States
containing detailed daily expenditure data collected by ACNielsen Homescan for 2003.
Specifically, we examine aggregate food expenditure patterns, shopping trip patterns, and
expenditure patterns across retail channels over calendar weeks, weekly seven day cycles,
and days of the week. Our main finding is that households in the lowest 25 percent of the
income distribution that have zero employed people have a significantly higher
differenced expenditure level in the beginning of the month and significantly lower
differenced expenditure in the last week or weeks of the calendar month, thus rejecting
the LCPIH. Further, we find that, in general, households do not use convenience stores
as a complementary retail channel to the grocery channel.