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Abstract
In this paper several decoupling options are evaluated concerning their impact on structural change
especially on farm incomes and their surviving. Therefore, the agent-based model AgriPoliS was used
and extended to account the income of leaving farms. This enables the comparison of future incomes
of leaving and surviving farms to find out whether leaving farms are losers or not. The disaggregated
analysis of farms’ household incomes showed that leaving farmers even benefit from their decision in
case that enough off-farm jobs are available. Losers are farms that would have left agriculture under
conditions of the Agenda 2000. After decoupling they stay in the sector and cannot increase their
income as much as under Agenda conditions. Furthermore, the analysis displayed a persistence of
farms in the sector despite it would have been more profitable for them to quit agriculture.