The article analyzes the determinants of the probability of dispute over land (conflicts, occupations and settlement projects) in
the Brazilian state of Minas Gerais. Through the use of a logit model,
we found that the main influences are political and economical ones.
Apparently, the behavior of the agrarian reform’s supporters follows the
political incentive, with fewer occurrences of conflicts in towns governed
by political allies. By other hand, the economical determinants - degree
of poverty and the economic growth - have negative impacts on it.
