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Abstract
The paper examines the possible impact of Doha agreement on Philippine
poverty. Using a detailed CGE analysis, the agreement is observed to depress world
demand for Philippine agricultural exports, and thus slightly increase poverty, especially
among rural households. However, an ambitious full trade liberalization scenario, which
involves free world trade and domestic liberalization, leads to increased industrial exports
that favor urban households. These impacts are driven primarily by domestic trade
liberalization, as free world trade favors the agricultural sector by increasing the cost of
competing agricultural imports.