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Abstract
This study applies portfolio theory to rice varietal selection decisions to find profit maximizing
and risk minimizing outcomes. Results based on data from six counties in the
Arkansas Delta for the period 1999–2006 suggest that sowing a portfolio of rice varieties
could have increased profits from 3 to 26% (depending on the location) for rice producers in
the Arkansas Delta. The major implication of this research is that data and statistical tools are
available for rice producers to improve the choice of rice varieties to plant each year in
specific locations. Specifically, there are large potential gains from combining varieties that
are characterized by inverse yield responses to growing conditions such as drought, pest
infestation, or the presence of a specific disease.