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Abstract
As events in the 2008/09 season have amply demonstrated, instability in staple food market
remains a major problem in Zambia. A rise in world food price levels and instability, which is
projected to occur in the near future according to several international institutes, will make it
all more important for developing countries to consider the strengths and weaknesses of
alternative approaches for buffering their domestic food systems from potential high volatility
in world markets.
These findings suggest that promoting more “rules based” approaches to marketing and
trade
policy may reduce the level of policy uncertainty and the price instability associated with it.
Greater policy stability may also contribute to broader grain market development. For the
most part, addressing problems of policy uncertainty involve very little cost per se, but do
require greater coordination and more efficient management of government operations.
However, policy makers may feel that rules-based and non-discretionary marketing and trade
policies entails a loss of control and autonomy – leaders are bound to act according to
predefined rules and triggers. Successfully addressing these dilemmas may lie at the heart of
efforts to move to a new post-liberalization system in which governments retain the ability to
influence prices to achieve national food security objectives but within a clear and transparent
framework of credible commitment to support long run private investment in the development
of markets.