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Abstract
Climate change is expected to significantly reduce water availability in the Murray-Darling
Basin. This paper details a bio-physical economic model of the Basin regions which has been
developed to estimate the effect of reduced water availability on irrigated agriculture. In the
model, regions are linked through a network of water and salt flows, while crop yields respond
to irrigation and salinity. The model allows water trade to be restricted to regions or to be unrestricted across the basin. The paper also develops a hypothetical scenario to demonstrate the model.