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Abstract
Global retail chains are becoming increasingly dominant in the global food trade and their rise leads to
dramatic impacts on agricultural supply chains and on small producers. However, the prospects and
impacts of a food retail revolution in poor countries are not yet well understood. Here, we examine this
question in Madagascar, a poor but stable country where global retailers have been present for over a
decade. Our survey and analysis finds that while global retail chains sell better quality food, their prices
are 40 to 90% higher, ceteris paribus, than those seen in traditional retail markets. In poor settings,
characterized by high food price elasticities, a lack of willingness to pay for quality, and small retail
margins, supermarkets appear to set prices with an eye toward maximizing profits based on price-inelastic
demands for quality products from a small middle class interested in one-stop shopping. It seems unlikely
that global retail chains will further increase their food retail share in such poor settings.