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Abstract
While many researchers and policymakers infer from correlations between eating out and body
weight that restaurants are a leading cause of obesity, a basic identification problem challenges
these conclusions. We exploit the placement of Interstate highways in rural areas to obtain
exogenous variation in the effective price of restaurants and examine the impact on body mass.
We find no causal link between restaurant consumption and obesity. Analysis of food-intake
micro-data suggests that consumers offset calories from restaurant meals by eating less at other
times. We conclude that regulation targeting restaurants is unlikely to reduce obesity but could
decrease consumer welfare.