LONG-RUN TREND ANALYSIS OF COUNTER-CYCLE PROGRAM COMMODITY PRICES IN THE FARM SECURITY AND RURAL DEVELOPMENT ACT OF 2002

This study provides empirical evidence on whether corn, sorghum, oat, barley, wheat, rice, soybeans, cotton, and peanuts exhibit cyclical patterns in their historical prices. The results of time-series analysis support a newly added counter-cyclical payment in the Farm Security and Rural Investment Act of 2002 for all crops except corn.