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Abstract

Although East Asian countries were relatively inactive in signing free trade agreements (FTAs) until the end of 1990s, a number of FTAs involving East Asian countries have been signed since the turn of the century. Because sectoral interests can exert significant influence on policy negotiations, the sectoral results would be most important for political economy considerations. The objective of this study is to evaluate the sectoral adjustments resulting from various FTA scenarios in East Asia using a dynamic global CGE model. Among other issues, the indices of revealed comparative advantage (RCA) are computed and RCA rankings of commodities with various FTA scenarios and those with the global trade liberalization scenario are correlated to examine how “natural” the groupings would be.

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