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Abstract

We estimate that a successful completion of the Doha Development Agenda should result in a weighted average loss to Russian households of –0.2 percent of consumption. Russia, as a net food importer, loses from subsidy elimination, and the gains to Russia from tariff cuts in other countries are too small to offset these losses. But Russia’s own trade and foreign direct investment liberalization as part of WTO accession should lead to gains of 7.3 percent of Russian consumption, and these gains are fairly evenly distributed throughout the population. We conclude that Russia has more to gain from its own liberalization than from Doha.

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