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Abstract

A recent outbreak of Rift Valley Fever in East Africa has led to an export ban by Saudi Arabia and other Gulf countries on livestock products from Ethiopia. An evaluation of the costs of the ban on Ethiopia’s main exporting region (Somali) and their distribution among different types of households, producers and traders is conducted using a CGE model. Investment strategies to regain access to the Gulf market and reduce the probability of future bans are also evaluated. Results show that Somali’s GDP is reduced by 36 percent as a consequence of the ban. In addition, poor and better off producers experience total losses in value added of around 50 percent of their respective levels in a normal year. The evaluation of an animal health program to minimize the impact of future bans shows that it increases welfare and benefits poor livestock producers.

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