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Abstract

This paper presents two scenarios simulated with the applied general equilibrium model WorldScan. The scenarios are constructed to study the effects of globalization on environment quality and environmental policies. WorldScan quantifies the economic content of the scenarios and the volume growth of energy and emissions between 1995 and 2020. It shows that trade as such does not affect the volume of emissions except for technology spillovers. However, trade liberalization affects significantly the carbon leakage of implementing environmental policies in the Annex-1 regions to the non Annex-1 regions.

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