Implications of Uncertainty in Yields and Exports

A prototype procedure is presented for developing subjective, probabilistic evaluations for future uncertainties about commodity yield and export expectations. The subjective uncertainty information is incorporated into a large multi commodity systems model in order to estimate future commodity price uncertainties that are useful for public policy and program decisions in agriculture.


Issue Date:
1977-07
Publication Type:
Conference Paper/ Presentation
DOI and Other Identifiers:
Record Identifier:
https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/283666
Language:
English
Total Pages:
13




 Record created 2019-02-13, last modified 2020-10-28

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