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Abstract

Producers confronted with pest management problems must continually update information on the state of the crop, the level of pest infestation, and other factors to modify their conception of the evolving state. Determination of economic thresholds have at most been based on informational feedback systems that do not take into account possibilities for revision based on •the expected states of the crop system in future periods. This paper develops a framework for applying an adaptive control methodology to pest management decisions to fully consider both present and expected future information states. By incorporating anticipated revision of producers' decisions in an adaptive control scheme, it is expected that better production system performance can be realized.

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