PROJECTING FOOD DEMAND: A COMPARISON OF TWO METHODS

Results of food demand projections based on national aggregate data are compared to those based on micro, or subnational, data sources. Sri Lanka data for 1969/70 were used as a ease study. Both projection methods give similar results for total food demand. For individual commodities, aggregate projections are smaller than micro projections, with the exception of rice and vegetables. Micro projections may be more reliable because more factors underlying demand are taken into account. If used in development planning, the results of these projection procedures would lead to very different food production strategies.


Issue Date:
1986-07
Publication Type:
Report
DOI and Other Identifiers:
Record Identifier:
https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/277890
Language:
English
Total Pages:
19
Series Statement:
AGES860516




 Record created 2018-10-10, last modified 2020-10-28

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