The Predictive Role of Counterfactuals

We suggest a model that describes how counterfactuals are con- structed and justied. The model can describe how counterfactual beliefs are updated given the unfolding of actual history. It also al- lows us to examine the use of counterfactuals in prediction, and to show that a logically omniscient reasoner gains nothing from using counterfactuals for prediction.


Issue Date:
2011-02
Publication Type:
Working or Discussion Paper
DOI and Other Identifiers:
Record Identifier:
https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/275754
Language:
English
Total Pages:
21




 Record created 2018-08-09, last modified 2020-10-28

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