Files
Abstract
In this study we examine changing relationships among maize prices in four global markets. In
doing so, we allow the quantity of exports to play a role in both price transmission and price
response. That is, we adapt threshold cointegration methods to search for critical export volumes
that enhance (or diminish) the role a region’s price plays in the world market. We find that the
short run response of prices in both Argentina and Ukraine is influenced by the level of
Ukraine’s exports. However the period where Ukraine’s exports reached their threshold
coincides with the period that Argentina imposed export restrictions on maize. We also find that
there are numerous country specific price thresholds that influence each market’s short run
response to a price shock.