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Abstract

China’s sorghum imports have shown an unexpected increase since 2013 mainly due to the Chinese government “temporary reserve program” implemented on corn. The objective of this study is an attempt to provide a reference for sorghum exporters to prepare for China’s future sorghum import trends when the Chinese government policy changes. This study developed a sorghum supply and demand structure model to estimate and forecast China’s future sorghum excess demand. The results of this study suggested that China imports will decrease when government eliminates the subsidy policy for corn, but will not decrease to the levels that occurred before the year 2013.

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