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Abstract
This paper analyzes the structure of water transactions using data on contract duration from
California. Water rights in the western United States are transferred through short-term and longterm
leases as well as permanent ownership contracts. We test predictions about the type of water
contracts derived from the literature on economic organization by using ordered probit models to
investigate the correlates of contract duration.We confirm that long-term and permanent contracts
are more likely when investments in specific assets are required for conveyance. We also find that
longer-term arrangements are common when buyers with uncertain water supplies purchase from
sellers with more certain rights, suggesting that urban municipalities use long-term contracts to
reduce risk. We do not find robust evidence supporting the hypothesis that short-term agreements
are more likely when the costs of transfer to third parties are potentially high.