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Abstract
Recent publications have shown that general aviation accident rates in the United
States are decreasing, though they remain much higher than other segments of aviation.
What is behind this safety improvement? Are all types of accidents decreasing or are
certain types of accidents driving the overall decrease? This study provides the
preliminary results of an in depth analysis of the causes of fatal general aviation accidents
from 1992 through 2002. First a database of all fatal Part 91 accidents during this
timeframe was created by examining the NTSB accident report for each accident and
determining the initial cause of the accident. Forty-four different cause categories were
used and 1305 individual accidents were analyzed. Both the absolute and relative change
of the causes of Part 91 fatal accidents from 1992 through 2002 were considered. This
study provides the findings from four years from this time period (1992, 1997, 1999, and
2001) in order to evaluate initial results and trends and to develop some initial hypotheses
for later testing. Preliminary analyses of the data reveal that the distribution of fatal
general aviation accidents by flight phase differs from commercial aviation accidents.
The data also reveals that while pilot error remains a significant cause of fatal accidents,
the rate of pilot error accidents is decreasing and CFIT accidents, which are thought to be
a particular area of concern within general aviation, are actually not a significant cause of
accidents within this sector.