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Abstract
China’s poultry production and consumption are growing rapidly, but rising input costs could slow its development. Increases in corn and soybean prices and wages are partially transmitted to rising retail chicken prices in China. Corn and soybean meal appear to be substitutes, and corn prices have a stronger impact on chicken prices than does the price of soybean meal. Modest technical change impacts partly offset the effect of rising input prices. Rising grain prices and wages, reinforced by Chinese currency appreciation, are eroding the international competitiveness of the Chinese poultry industry