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Abstract
This paper sets up an empirical framework to examine the relat10nsh1p between monetary po hey and
relative prices of agncultural commod1t1es and the impacts of agncultural shocks on relative prices and the money
supply. The observed poltcy mterrelat1onsh1ps between macroeconom1cs and agnculture have counterparts in the
data Expansion m the money supply usually leads to a dechne m the tem1s of trade for agnculture Supply shocks,
as expected, have opposite effects. Despite all the d1scussmn presently taking place about whether unrestricted
vector autoregress1ons are useful for policy analysis, one should not disregard the above ftndmgs m designing new
polJCies. In particular, a new agncultural pohcy that is less dependent on credit at concessionary rates has to rely
on some compensatory scheme, wluch may simply be better pnces (e.g., less discnmmation against the foodproducrng
sector) or any other pos1t1ve measure. Questions of efficiency and the spec1f1c goals of society should
determine the po hey mix to be adopted.