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Abstract

The synchronous development of industrialization, urbanization, agricultural modernization and informatization is the basic trend and future requirements of China's economic and social development. By using the relevant data of 1978-2011, and establishing the VAR model, we find that in the short term, industrialization is the Granger cause of urbanization; urbanization is the Granger cause of industrialization, informatization, and agricultural modernization; agricultural modernization is the Granger cause of industrialization, informatization and urbanization; informatization is the Granger reason of industrialization, urbanization and agricultural modernization. In the long run, there are long-term and stable relations among them, and at the same time, their changes affect the structure of each other, and there are pulling effect among them.

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