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Abstract
Portions of the U. S. have recently or
are currently experiencing extended
periods of drought. Producers
considering the purchase of breeding
stock to rebuild herds while forage
supplies recover could be doing so at
or near the top of the current cattle
price cycle. This research
investigates purchasing additional
hay and partial liquidation as
management strategies under
various scenarios of drought and
price cycles. Results indicate that
purchasing hay may be a more risky
strategy than partial liquidation, and
it only provides positive returns over
a 12-year planning horizon when
extended drought occurs during a
trough-to-trough price cycle.