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Abstract
Indonesia has set the target that by the year 2020 its emissions of greenhouse gases will
be reduced by 26 per cent relative to business-as-usual conditions. This article analyses
the effectiveness of a subsidy to the use of land in forestry as a means of achieving this
goal. The analysis uses a general equilibrium model of the Indonesian economy characterised
by explicit treatment of land use, disaggregated by industry and by region.
The results of the analysis indicate that the subsidy cost of permanently reducing carbon
emissions by 26 per cent is a little over US$1 per metric tonne of carbon emissions
abated. This cost needs to be compared with that of alternative instruments and with
the price of carbon that might be agreed under the proposed Reducing Emissions
through Deforestation and Land Degradation (REDD) scheme, to be administered
through the World Bank and the United Nations.