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Abstract
Short-run responses of export and domestic shares of total agricultural output to changes in stocks of domestic savings
(SAV), development assistance (ODA), private foreign commercial capital (PFX) and other variables is investigated. A profit
function approach is used. Time series data for 19 sub-Saharan African countries are pooled into three panels using similarities
in changes in economic policy regime.
Statistical evidence suggests that for the panel of countries that were undertaking liberalized economic reforms, the slope
coefficients of some of the variables in the models have changed significantly between 1970-1980 and 1981-1993. For the
1981-1993 period, the impacts of ODA, PFX and SAV on export and domestic shares were different for this panel. The effect
of increases in agricultural labor was different across the three panels. There is also evidence that productivity growth in the
export agriculture sub-sector is negative in all the groups.
It is recommended that to halt the decline in export share of agricultural output in the group of countries that have undertaken
substantial improvements in economic policy environment, efforts must be made to reduce the negative impact of domestic
savings and agricultural labor, while at the same time working to reduce the bias of development assistance against food
security. © 2000 Elsevier Science B. V. All rights reserved.