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Abstract
The paper examines, taking into account the urban-rural divides, the changes and
welfare implications of income diversification in Zimbabwe following macroeconomic
policy changes and droughts of the early 1990s. Data from two comparable national
income, consumption, and expenditure surveys in 1990/91 and 1995/96 show that the
percentage of households earning income from private and informal sources grew
considerably while that from government and formal sources declined. In general, rural
households tend to have a more diversified portfolio of income compared to urban and
the degree of income diversification decreases with the level of urbanization. However,
there are important differences in the level of diversification within the rural and urban
areas, depending on wealth: while the relatively better-off households have a more
diversified income base in rural areas, it is the poor that pursue multiple income sources
in urban areas. A decomposition of changes in welfare indicates that the total
contribution of income diversification is large and increased between 1990/91 and
1995/96 in both urban and rural areas. On the other hand, there were significant declines
in returns to human and physical capital assets during the same period. The findings
suggest that households with a more diversified income base are better able to withstand
the unfavorable impacts of the policy changes and weather shocks. The fact that
relatively better-off households have a more diversified income base following the
shocks implies that the poor are more vulnerable to economic changes unaccompanied by
well-designed safety nets.