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Abstract
The Sri Lankan government implemented tax reforms in 2011, including removal of the tax
exemption given to public servants and reduction of personal income tax rates in order to improve
tax compliance from pay-as-you-earn (PAYE) tax payers. This study evaluates the 2007 and 2011
tax systems in order to examine the effects that taxing the income of public sector employees has
on total tax revenues and the tax base. The study also compares the distributional effects of the
different tax systems. Study further conducts simulation analyses to assess the most progressive
means of achieving the 2007 tax revenue levels. Implications for tax evasion are also examined
under different tax systems. The study finds that the 2011 tax reforms reduce tax revenue by 48
percent relative to the structure of income taxation in 2007. This decline in tax revenues occurs
even though income taxes are extended to public sector workers because the 2011 tax reforms
reduced the rate of income taxes across the board and increased the tax-free threshold. Our
simulations show that tax revenues would have risen if the reforms were limited to introducing
income taxes to public servants. The resulting (hypothetical) tax system would also have been
more progressive than the tax structure resulting from the 2011 reforms. The study evaluated the
distributional impacts of modifications to the 2011 tax system which would increase tax revenue to
their level in 2007. More specifically, the present study finds that the most progressive way to
attain this tax revenue target would be to increase tax rates on taxable income by 6 percentage
points and to lower the tax-free threshold from LKR 600,000 to LKR 400,000.