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Abstract
The nutrition of preschool children is of considerable interest not only because of
concern over their immediate welfare, but also because their nutrition in this formative
stage of life is widely perceived to have substantial persistent impact on their physical
and mental development and on their health status as adults. Children’s physical and
mental development shapes their later lives by affecting their schooling success and post-schooling
productivity. Improving the nutritional status of currently malnourished
preschoolers may, therefore, have important payoffs over the long term. Within rural
Mexico, stunting, or short height relative to standards established for healthy populations,
is the major form of protein-energy malnutrition (PEM). Low weight for height, or
wasting, is much less of a problem. But stunting is symptomatic of longer-term effects of
early childhood malnutrition.
One of the major components of the PROGRESA program has been directed
toward improving the nutritional status of children in poor rural communities in Mexico.
Cross-sectional comparisons of height for children who received PROGRESA treatment
versus others who were in PROGRESA-eligible households but who did not receive
treatment suggest no positive effect of PROGRESA, either on average child height or on
the proportion of children who are stunted, i.e., more than two standard deviations below
recognized norms. But these comparisons may be misleading because of the failure to
control for unobserved child, parental and household, and market and community
characteristics that may be correlated with children receiving the PROGRESA treatment, or because of the failure to control for systematic initial differences. For example, on
average, the children in the control sample tended to have better anthropometric status
than children in the treatment sample.
The preferred estimates used in this study control for these factors. PROGRESA
treatment is represented by those who reportedly received nutritional supplements in the
treatment group (less than 60 percent of children in the treatment group) for children in
the critical age range of 12 to 36 months. These estimates find significant effects of
receiving PROGRESA treatment in increasing child growth and reducing the probability
of child stunting. These estimates imply an increase of about one-sixth in mean growth
per year for these children, and perhaps somewhat greater for children from poorer
households and poorer communities but whose household heads are more educated. This
is a potentially important effect: under the assumptions that (1) there is strong persistence
of changes in small children’s anthropometric development so that the percentage
changes for adults equal those (are half of those) that we estimate for children and (2) that
adult anthropometric-earnings relations from elsewhere in Latin America apply to the
labor markets in which these children will be working as adults, the impact from this
effect alone would be a 2.9 percent (1.4 percent) increase in lifetime earnings. In
addition, there are likely to be other effects through increased cognitive development,
increased schooling, and lowered age of completing given levels of schooling through
starting when younger and passing successfully grades at a higher rate. While these
estimates remain fairly speculative, they suggest that PROGRESA may have substantial
effects on lifetime productivity and earnings of preschool children in poor households.