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Abstract
In this paper we study the trade creation effects of the EU preferential trade
agreements (PTAs) in the agriculture and food sectors for a large sample of developing
countries in the period 1990-2006. We build upon the existing literature on trade with
heterogeneous firms, by investigating the extent to which the effects of PTAs occurs mainly
through the extensive – number of exported products – or the intensive – volume of existing
products – margins. A direct measure of export diversification based on the theoreticallyfounded
decomposition of trade into the two margins is here used. Empirically, we use a gravity
framework in a panel data setting, and different estimators to deal with the issues of zero trade
flows and of the presence of an upper bound in the dependent variable, which has been recently
shown to raise new problems in the most common gravity econometric approaches. Main results
show that the EU PTAs positively affect the agricultural extensive margins, especially through
other than tariff provisions linked with the PTA, while in the food industry results are more
sensitive to the estimator used. As far as concern the intensive margin, the PTAs effect is only
driven by the role of tariff, while other provisions of the PTAs do not exert any relevant impact
in both agricultural and food products.