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Abstract
The measurement of income elasticities of demand for farm products, both individually
and as an aggregate, is a fundamental problem which has concerned a considerable
number of agricultural economists. Professor Milton Friedman's recent study, A Theory
of the Consumption Function (3),1 investigates the relation between aggregate consumption
and aggregate income. Though addressed to the general economist, it is of special
interest to economists and statisticians engaged in the study of factors affecting the consumption
and prices of farm products. Friedman presents a fundamentally new view
of the consumption function, which he terms "the permanent income hypothesis." Central
to this hypothesis is a sharp distinction between measured income, or that which is
recorded for a particular short period of time, and permanent income, a longer term
concept. His analysis, if correct, suggests that current methods for measuring income
elasticities of demand are generally inadequate. This paper contains a summary of
Friedman's position; an appraisal of its implications for the analysis of demand for individual
commodities; the formulation of an alternative to the permanent income hypothesis;
and a test of their relative merits. It is hoped that this presentation will make
the permanent income hypothesis more widely known and will stimulate further investigations
in this area by agricultural economists.