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Abstract
Fruit and nut production in Oregon and other important producing areas is highly commercialized.
Sales of many of these commodities are controlled by Federal marketing agreements
to provide for orderly marketing of each year's crop. Officers of grower and processor organizations
who are charged with the administration of the programs need accurate early-season
forecasts of prospective production and quality of the product. Monthly production forecasts
are published during the growing season by the Crop Reporting Service as part of the overall crop
and livestock estimating program. However, the complexity of marketing problems faced by
producers and their organizations has built up pressures for more detail and greater precision
in such forecasts. This paper reports on a study being made on filberts in Oregon; the
approach to the problem is typical of the approach now under study in several areas.