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Abstract
Uncertainty has been under-recognised as an impediment to the adoption of innovative land conservation
practices. High levels of uncertainty inhibit adoption because (a) most farmers are psychologically averse to
risk and uncertainty, (b) uncertainty leaves room for misunderstanding and misperceptions about the
innovation and (c) in some cases there can be an option value from not trialing. A framework is presented
that emphasises that adoption is a process involving collection, integration and evaluation of new
information (i.e., reduction in uncertainty over time). Thereafter the paper discusses the range of factors that
contribute to high uncertainty about conservation innovations, factors that reduce the potential for trials to
reduce this uncertainty, and factors that contribute to the high cost of trials of conservation technologies.
Some clear implications for policy approaches to land degradation are identified.