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Abstract
Government price policy in Pakistan affects both the supply and demand of wheat. The
wheat market has been established in a particular idiosyncratic manner in Pakistan, and a
thorough appraisal of policy needs to take this into account. Hence, to analyse various
policy interventions, this study develops a multi-level wheat market model. After
considering the real world aspects of the wheat marketing chain, a conceptual framework
is developed involving five market levels. This is then translated into a multi-equation
econometric model. The model is based on secondary time series data from 1971 to 1996.
It consists of equations representing supply, demand, stock holding, importing and price
formation. The model is used to estimate changes in consumer surplus, producer surplus
and government expenditures, resulting from proposed policy changes.