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Abstract
A watershed-based modeling system is developed to assess alternative nutrient abatement policies,
including fertilizer taxes, application caps, and uniform reductions. A microeconometric model
of nutrient use is estimated using farm-level data, prices, and spatially detailed soil and land
characteristics. Results are interfaced with a physical watershed model to predict water quality
changes. Simulations demonstrate differences in water quality effects across policies. For nitrate
loads at the watershed outlet, an application cap provides slightly superior performance for small
reductions, but a tax is more efficient under larger reductions. Phosphorus reductions at the subwatershed
level vary but provide information about policy tradeoffs.