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Abstract
Investment in R&D has long been regarded as an important source of productivity
growth in Australian agriculture. Perhaps because research lags are long, current
investment in R&D is monitored closely. Investment in R&D has been flat while
productivity growth has remained strong, relative both to other sectors of the Australian
economy and to the agricultural sectors of other countries. Such productivity growth, at
a time when the decline in terms of trade facing Australian farmers has slowed, may have
enhanced the competitiveness of Australian agriculture. The econometric results presented
here suggest no evidence of a decline in the returns from research from the 15 to
40 per cent per annum range estimated by Mullen and Cox. In fact the marginal impact
of research increases with research over the range of investment levels experienced from
1953 to 2000, a finding which lends support to the view that there is underinvestment
in agricultural research. These results were obtained from econometric models which
maintain strong assumptions about how investments in research and extension translate
into changes in TFP. Hence some caution in interpreting the results is warranted.