Files
Abstract
Cattle feeders appear irrational when they place cattle on feed when projected profits are negative.
Long futures positions appear to offer superior returns to cattle feeding investment. Cattle feeder
behavior suggests that they believe a downward bias in live cattle futures persists and that cattle
feeders use different information than the live cattle futures market price when making placement
decisions. This paper examines feeder cattle placement determinants and compares performance of
expected hedgeable profits with past actual profits in explaining feeder cattle' placements. Past actual
profits are found to be more important placement determinants than expected profits based upon the
live cattle futures market, even though hedgeable profits provide superior forecasts of future profits.