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Abstract
There is a growing body of evidence in the non-market valuation literature
suggesting that responses to a sequence of discrete choice questions tend to violate the
assumptions typically made by analysts regarding independence of responses and
stability of preferences. Decision processes (or heuristics) such as value learning and
strategic misrepresentation have been offered as explanations for these results. While
a few studies have tested these heuristics as competing hypotheses, none has
investigated the possibility that each explains the response behaviour of a subgroup of
the population. In this paper, we make a contribution towards addressing this research
gap by presenting a probabilistic decision process model designed to estimate the
proportion of respondents employing defined heuristics. We demonstrate the model
on binary and multinomial choice data sources and find three distinct types of
response behaviour. The results suggest that accounting for heterogeneity in response
behaviour may be a better way forward than attempting to identify a single heuristic
to explain the behaviour of all respondents.