000097791 001__ 97791
000097791 005__ 20210803102208.0
000097791 0247_ $$2doi$$a10.22004/ag.econ.97791
000097791 037__ $$a1162-2016-93075
000097791 041__ $$aeng
000097791 245__ $$aRegional dairy production: short-term projections and expected demand for inputs
000097791 260__ $$c2004-06
000097791 269__ $$a2004-06
000097791 270__ $$mhrlaca@massey.ac.nz$$pLaca-Vina,   Hector R.
000097791 270__ $$mw.c.bailey@massey.ac.nz$$pBailey,   W.C.
000097791 300__ $$a25
000097791 336__ $$aConference Paper/ Presentation
000097791 520__ $$aOver the period 1991-2003, New Zealand’s milk production more than doubled. At the same time, dairy farming expanded its boundaries into non-traditional dairy production regions. 
The distribution of regional production is of particular interest because of effects on supply and demand balances for key inputs and outputs. Changes in the geographical distribution of dairy production alter local economic output and, consequently, income distribution and community viability. The aim of this paper is to present regional short-term estimates of demand for selected key production inputs and milk output. Short-term estimates for milk production and land use were derived based on past growth rates in stocking rate, cow numbers and productivity per cow for each region. Input demand forecasts were, in turn, derived using regional milk production and land use forecasts and baseline estimates of input and energy use reported in Wells (2001). Results indicate that by season 2006/07, the effective area devoted to dairy production will be at 1.56 million hectares, a 7% increase with respect to the 2003 baseline. However, contrary to what happened prior to 2003, almost all the gain in dairy area is explained by increases in the South Island. Over the same period, national milk production is expected to increase by 20% to 1,431 million kgs. MS. Similarly, the South Island accounted for much of the gain, increasing its share in total milk production to 34% up from 28% in 2003. 
It is expected that the use of inputs such as nitrogen, potassium, phosphorous and sulphur per unit of area will intensify for all dairy regions. However, the increase in the use of inputs per unit of area relative to the baseline is lower in long-established dairy regions, Northland, South Auckland and Taranaki, than in non-traditional dairy regions like, North and South Canterbury, Otago and Southland.
000097791 650__ $$aAgricultural and Food Policy
000097791 650__ $$aCrop Production/Industries
000097791 650__ $$aEnvironmental Economics and Policy
000097791 650__ $$aFarm Management
000097791 650__ $$aFood Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety
000097791 650__ $$aLand Economics/Use
000097791 650__ $$aLivestock Production/Industries
000097791 700__ $$aLaca-Vina, Hector R.
000097791 700__ $$aBailey, William C.
000097791 8564_ $$9f6f28c19-8e6b-4d4a-9e7b-e057eacafd0b$$s562375$$uhttps://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/97791/files/2004-20-regional%20dairy%20production.pdf
000097791 887__ $$ahttp://purl.umn.edu/97791
000097791 909CO $$ooai:ageconsearch.umn.edu:97791$$pGLOBAL_SET
000097791 912__ $$nSubmitted by Najmus SAYADAT (sabuj006@gmail.com) on 2010-12-12
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  Previous issue date: 2004-06
000097791 913__ $$aLicense granted by Najmus SAYADAT (sabuj006@gmail.com) on 2010-12-12 (GMT):

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000097791 980__ $$a1162
000097791 982__ $$gNew Zealand Agricultural and Resource Economics Society>2004 Conference, June 25-26, 2004,  Blenheim, New Zealand