@article{vanLeeuwen:8522,
      recid = {8522},
      author = {van Leeuwen, Myrna and Bartova, Lubica and M'Barek, Robert  and Erjavec, Emil},
      title = {Implications of EU Enlargement for Agricultural Markets in  the New Member States},
      address = {2007},
      number = {689-2016-47219},
      series = {Seminar Paper},
      pages = {10},
      year = {2007},
      abstract = {The paper presents an analysis of the impact of the Common  Agricultural Policy
implementation on the agricultural  markets of the eight new EU Member States. The study  is
based on the AGMEMOD (AGricultural MEmber states  MODelling) national econometric
models. Two scenarios are  simulated for each country. The "Baseline" scenario assumes  the
implementation of the Single Area Payment Scheme until  2008 and the subsequent
introduction of the Single Payment  Scheme from 2009 onwards. Complementary national
direct  payments would remain in force until 2013. The second  scenario assumes the full
decoupling of direct payments  from 2007 and the introduction of modulation from  2013
onwards in the 2004 enlargement new Member States  (EU-8). The baseline scenario
projections suggest that the  introduction of direct payments would expand EU-8  aggregate
production, mainly of oilseeds, grains, sheepmeat  and cheese, while beef and veal production
would also  increase. Consumption of more expensive beef and veal meat  would be substituted
by poultry and pigmeat. Full  decoupling of direct payments will have only a moderate  impact
on the balance of supply and use for crop and animal  production.},
      url = {http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/8522},
      doi = {https://doi.org/10.22004/ag.econ.8522},
}