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Abstract
Stochastic budgeting is used to simulate the business and financial risk and the
performance over a six-year planning horizon on a Norwegian dairy farm. A major
difficulty with stochastic whole-farm budgeting lies in identifying and measuring
dependency relationships between stochastic variables. Some methods to account for
these stochastic dependencies are illustrated.
The financial feasibility of different investment and management strategies is
evaluated. In contrast with earlier studies with stochastic farm budgeting, the option
aspect is included in the analysis.