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Abstract

Climate change and the respective policies for carbon emission reductions will test the resilience of global value chains and shape them. Shocks in production and trade can be transmitted from one country to another by global value chains, although they can also help to lessen the blow of a domestic shock. This paper explores simulations from the ENVISAGE global computable general equilibrium model to enhance understanding of the potential longer-term impacts of environmental policies. It evaluates the key factors shaping the global economy with stylized scenarios that capture the essential elements of policies to achieve carbon emission reductions that will have an impact on trade.

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